The topic of Bayesian updating is explored using standard and non-standard dice as an intuitive and motivating model. Details of calculating posterior probabilities for a discrete distribution are provided, offering a different view to P-values. This article also includes the stars and bars counting technique, a powerful method of counting that is accessible to students who have been introduced to permutations and combinations. Supportive R code is included throughout, and a Shiny application accompanies the article allowing for an interactive exploration of the topics discussed.

中文翻译：

---

用骰子进行贝叶斯探索

使用标准和非标准骰子作为直观和激励模型来探索贝叶斯更新的主题。提供了计算离散分布的后验概率的详细信息，为P 值提供了不同的视图。本文还包括星形和条形计数技术，这是一种强大的计数方法，已被引入排列和组合的学生可以使用。支持性 R 代码贯穿始终，文章随附一个 Shiny 应用程序，允许对所讨论的主题进行交互式探索。