ABSTRACT

Gathering information on electric energy consumption is important for companies and institutions aiding in making plans. Multi-agent systems can aid such companies in understanding the different behaviours presented within the context of a society constituted by autonomous entities. We propose a multi-agent simulator capable of emulating different profiles of consumers and equipment. Our approach differs from others in three fundamental aspects: i). it models parameters that are difficult to predict, which are calibrated using values provided by available records; ii). it can be applied to different simulation environments involving various degrees of scalability and heterogeneity of profiles both of individual behaviour and household appliances; iii). it simulates the complexity of the system, providing estimates through the simulation of the interaction between users and electrical appliances. The results obtained by the model were similar to the numbers provided by the literature, which suggests the validity of the proposed approach.

摘要

收集有关电能消耗的信息对于帮助制定计划的公司和机构很重要。多代理系统可以帮助这些公司理解在由自治实体构成的社会背景下呈现的不同行为。我们提出了一种能够模拟消费者和设备的不同配置文件的多代理模拟器。我们的方法在三个基本方面不同于其他方法：i)。它模拟难以预测的参数，这些参数使用可用记录提供的值进行校准；ii). 它可以应用于不同的模拟环境，涉及个人行为和家用电器的不同程度的可扩展性和异质性；三）。它模拟了系统的复杂性，通过模拟用户和电器之间的交互来提供估计。该模型获得的结果与文献提供的数字相似，这表明所提出方法的有效性。