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Revival and recent advancements in the spatial fishery models originally conceived by Sidney Holt and Ray Beverton
ICES Journal of Marine Science ( IF 3.1 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-27 , DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsab021
Daniel R Goethel 1 , Steven X Cadrin 2
Affiliation  

Sidney Holt and Ray Beverton are primarily recognized for developing the basis of demographic stock assessment modelling, but their enduring legacy continues to influence and guide advancements in many fields of fisheries science. Although largely forgotten, their contributions to spatial modelling laid the foundation for a variety of applications in aquatic and terrestrial populations. Spatial modelling approaches are rapidly evolving beyond even the visionary scope of Beverton and Holt due to advancements in understanding of spatial population structure, collection of spatially explicit data, and statistical parameter estimation. A review of Beverton and Holt’s original movement models demonstrates that understanding the origins and basic underlying assumptions can help ensure that current models are consistent with fundamental principles. Additionally, recent simulation studies show that conforming to or revising spatial model assumptions is essential for accurate estimation. As fisheries science transitions to more complex spatial stock assessment models, understanding their conceptual development and the lessons learned by our predecessors is essential for proper model specification and application.

中文翻译:

最初由 Sidney Holt 和 Ray Beverton 构想的空间渔业模型的复兴和最新进展

Sidney Holt 和 Ray Beverton 主要以开发人口种群评估模型的基础而闻名,但他们不朽的遗产继续影响和指导渔业科学许多领域的进步。尽管在很大程度上被遗忘了,但他们对空间建模的贡献为水生和陆地种群的各种应用奠定了基础。由于对空间人口结构的理解、空间显式数据的收集和统计参数估计的进步,空间建模方法正在迅速发展,甚至超出了 Beverton 和 Holt 的远见卓识。对 Beverton 和 Holt 的原始运动模型的回顾表明,了解起源和基本的基本假设有助于确保当前模型与基本原理一致。此外,最近的模拟研究表明,符合或修改空间模型假设对于准确估计至关重要。随着渔业科学向更复杂的空间种群评估模型过渡,了解它们的概念发展和我们前辈的经验教训对于正确的模型规范和应用至关重要。
更新日期:2021-01-27
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