ABSTRACT

In October–November 2020, RECNA-Nagasaki University and Asia-Pacific Leadership Network (APLN) with the support of Nautilus Institute convened the Nagasaki 75th Anniversary scenario workshop to address the pandemic-nuclear nexus. About fifty participants of diverse background explored the future of nuclear war and nuclear disarmament in light of the uncertainty created by the global coronavirus pandemic. Their specific task was to develop four scenarios to identify the opportunities driven by global pandemics for Northeast Asian governments, civil society and market actors to reduce nuclear risk and resume nuclear disarmament. Based on these scenarios, the workshop recommended sixteen urgent steps that could be implemented globally and in particular, in Northeast Asia. With three more policy measures added after the workshop, this article elaborates nineteen policy recommendations.

摘要

2020 年 10 月至 11 月，RECNA-长崎大学和亚太领导网络 (APLN) 在鹦鹉螺研究所的支持下召开了长崎 75 周年情景研讨会，以解决大流行与核之间的关系。鉴于全球冠状病毒大流行造成的不确定性，大约 50 名不同背景的参与者探讨了核战争和核裁军的未来。他们的具体任务是制定四种情景，以确定全球流行病为东北亚政府、民间社会和市场行为体带来的机会，以降低核风险并恢复核裁军。基于这些情景，研讨会建议了 16 个可以在全球尤其是东北亚实施的紧急步骤。研讨会结束后又增加了三项政策措施，