ABSTRACT

Building on the existing political momentum, this article seeks to deepen the international discussion on nuclear risk reduction through track 1.5 and track 2.0 dialogues. Various initiatives have recently acknowledged the need for reducing the risk of nuclear weapon use, such as the P5 process, the Stockholm Initiative for Nuclear Disarmament, and the US initiative on Creating the Environment for Nuclear Disarmament. There are diverging perceptions on the most significant sources of nuclear risks and how to address them best. The text compares different perspectives on nuclear risks, focusing particularly on scenarios involving the potential first use of nuclear weapons. On that basis, the project suggests feasible measures, promoting the adoption of no-first-use (NFU) policies.

摘要

在现有政治势头的基础上，本文力求通过轨道 1.5 和轨道 2.0 对话深化关于减少核风险的国际讨论。最近，各种倡议都承认需要降低使用核武器的风险，例如 P5​​ 进程、斯德哥尔摩核裁军倡议和美国为核裁军创造环境的倡议。对于核风险的最重要来源以及如何最好地解决这些风险，存在着不同的看法。文本比较了对核风险的不同观点，特别关注涉及潜在首次使用核武器的情景。在此基础上，该项目提出了可行的措施，促进采用不首先使用（NFU）政策。