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Influence of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios on the bioclimatic design strategies of the built environment
Sustainable Cities and Society ( IF 10.5 ) Pub Date : 2021-05-25 , DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2021.103042
David Bienvenido-Huertas , Carlos Rubio-Bellido , David Marín-García , Jacinto Canivell

Over time, whether through traditional knowledge or the constructive implementation, the relationship of the built environment with the climate conditions of a certain place has been developed. The control of these symbiotic solutions based on the climate-conscious design and their strategic approach have been improved to keep better welfare levels. Due to climate change, however, design strategies could be modified in a context of global warming. This research considers the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 2.6, 4.5 and RCP 8.5) to analyse the effectiveness of the design strategies throughout the 21 st century. A total of 6 countries (France, Portugal, Spain, Argentina, Brazil, and Chile) were selected to assess both thermal comfort levels and the need for using HVAC systems in each climate zone and in all future scenarios, so 1,450 cases were studied. The results showed that the less conservative climate change scenarios will affect thermal comfort, thus significantly reducing comfort hours in warm climates. In addition, passive design strategies could be less effective in the future, predominating the use of cooling systems. As a result of this research, future design strategies should be dynamic and permeable for possible scenarios.



中文翻译:

代表性浓度路径(RCP)情景对建筑环境生物气候设计策略的影响

随着时间的推移,无论是通过传统知识还是建设性的实施,建筑环境与某个地方的气候条件之间的关系已经形成。这些基于气候意识设计及其战略方法的共生解决方案的控制已得到改进,以保持更好的福利水平。然而,由于气候变化,可以在全球变暖的背景下修改设计策略。本研究考虑了代表性浓度途径(RCP 2.6、4.5 和 RCP 8.5)来分析整个 21 世纪设计策略的有效性。总共选择了 6 个国家(法国、葡萄牙、西班牙、阿根廷、巴西和智利)来评估热舒适度以及在每个气候区和所有未来情景中使用 HVAC 系统的需求,因此 1、研究了 450 个案例。结果表明,不太保守的气候变化情景会影响热舒适度,从而显着减少温暖气候下的舒适时间。此外,被动设计策略在未来可能不太有效,主要使用冷却系统。作为这项研究的结果,未来的设计策略应该是动态的,并且对可能的场景具有渗透性。

更新日期:2021-06-10
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