Abstract. In recent years, flooding has become one of the main natural disasters which poses the greatest risk, impact and bearing on the coastal areas of southeast peninsular Spain. Traditionally, the analysis of torrential precipitation events that cause floods has been predominant in the assessment of the factors that lead to this type of catastrophe. At present, despite considering this meteorological phenomenon as the trigger of river overflows, responsibility corresponding to the human factor in the perpetration of the risk of a natural disaster should not be forgotten. This study will ascertain the influence of urban and real estate development in increasing exposure to floods. In this sense, the pluviometric observations obtained in different precipitation events have been counted, mapped and analysed. Likewise, the evolution and development of the real estate portfolio is examined. The information obtained has been crossed with the digital cartography of flooded areas (National System of Flood Zones Cartography, SNCZI in spanish acronym). The main finding of the study shows that there seems to be unquestionable evidence to attribute a good part of the existing risk to the territorial transformation and to the continuous process of artificialization of the soil recently carried out.

中文翻译：

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预报洪水纪事：西班牙东南沿海的暴露和脆弱性

摘要。近年来，洪水已成为主要的自然灾害之一，对西班牙东南半岛的沿海地区构成最大的风险，影响和影响。传统上，对导致洪水的洪流降水事件的分析一直是评估导致此类灾难的因素的主要内容。目前，尽管将这种气象现象视为河流溢流的诱因，但不应忘记与人为因素有关的自然灾害风险的责任。这项研究将确定城市和房地产开发对洪水泛滥的影响。从这个意义上说，已经对在不同降水事件中获得的雨量观测进行了计数，绘图和分析。同样地，研究房地产投资组合的演变和发展。获得的信息已与洪水地区的数字制图（国家洪水地区制图系统，SNCZI，西班牙语为首字母缩略词）交叉。研究的主要发现表明，毫无疑问的证据将现有风险的很大一部分归因于领土的改造和最近进行的土壤人工化的连续过程。