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Long-term trends of the F2-region at mid-latitudes in the Southern Hemisphere
Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics ( IF 1.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-05-24 , DOI: 10.1016/j.jastp.2021.105683
Ashneel Sharan , Sushil Kumar

The long-term variations in foF2 at Hobart (52.88°S, 147.32°E), Canberra (35.28°S, 149.13° E) and Christchurch (43.53°S, 172.64°E) stations, located in the mid-latitude zone in the Southern Hemisphere were analyzed using 1947–2006 years of the data. The saturation, solar and geomagnetic activity and seasonal effects were removed mainly by using 12-month running mean, linear and multiple regression (twofold regression) methods to find possible signatures of climate change in long-term trends in the foF2. The solar activity proxies, sunspot number, RZ, and F10.7 solar radio flux were used in regression to find the foF2 residuals at midday (12 LT) and midnight (00 LT) of the stations. The long-term trends obtained at 12 LT are more significant and consistent with the model results. The trends estimated with F10.7 solar flux are negative and the trends estimated with RZ are positive (small and not significant). The foF2 decreased by 0.1–0.4 MHz for the 5 solar cycles period which could be mainly due to enhanced CO2 in the troposphere that is cooling the upper atmosphere. Further research is needed to see if the foF2 trends are also affected by other factors such as thermospheric winds, neutral constituents, the secular variation of Earth's magnetic field, long-term changes in stratospheric ozone, solar and geomagnetic activities.



中文翻译:

南半球中纬度F2区域的长期趋势

位于中纬度的霍巴特(52.88°S,147.32°E)、堪培拉(35.28°S,149.13°E)和基督城(43.53°S,172.64°E)站的f o F2的长期变化使用 1947-2006 年的数据分析了南半球的区域。主要通过使用 12 个月的运行平均值、线性和多元回归(双重回归)方法来消除饱和度、太阳和地磁活动以及季节性影响,以在f o F2的长期趋势中寻找气候变化的可能特征。太阳活动代理、太阳黑子数、R Z和 F10.7 太阳射电通量用于回归以找到f oF2 站点中午 (12 LT) 和午夜 (00 LT) 的残差。在12 LT处获得的长期趋势更为显着,并且与模型结果一致。用 F10.7 太阳通量估计的趋势为负,用R Z估计的趋势为正(小且不显着)。所述˚F Ô F2为5太阳周期期间这可能主要是由于增强的CO减少0.1-0.4兆赫2在被冷却上层大气对流层。还需要进一步研究,看是否˚F ØF2 趋势还受到其他因素的影响,例如热层风、中性成分、地球磁场的长期变化、平流层臭氧的长期变化、太阳和地磁活动。

更新日期:2021-05-28
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