Reaching sustainable and just futures for people and nature requires tackling complex social-ecological challenges across multiple scales, from local to global. Pathways towards such futures are largely driven by people’s decisions and actions, underpinned by multiple types of motivations and values. Thus, understanding the link between potential futures and the values underpinning them represents a key question of current sustainability research, recently embraced by the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES). Particularly the understanding of causal chains leading from values to futures across different contexts and scales is vital to identify which sustainability pathways to collectively pursue. In this study, we build on a transdisciplinary knowledge co-creation process in an array of local case studies in protected areas in the Czechia (Central Europe). We apply the Life Framework of Values and the Three Horizons framework in an innovative value-based participatory scenario building process to explore the relationships between (1) multiple types of values, (2) actions taken by different types of stakeholders, and (3) their potential impacts on nature, nature’s contributions to people (including ecosystem services) and good quality of life. The resulting local-scale value-based pathways show the complex relationship between multiple types of values for nature and potential future trajectories. Finally, we reflect on the utility of value-based participatory scenario planning as a means to strengthen sustainable governance. We highlight that if participatory deliberation of values is to support decision-making processes, its design needs to carefully reflect local context and institutional set-up.

要实现人与自然的可持续，公正的未来，就需要应对从地方到全球的多个层面的复杂社会生态挑战。走向这种未来的途径很大程度上取决于人们的决定和行动，并以多种动机和价值观为基础。因此，了解潜在期货与其基础价值之间的联系代表了当前可持续性研究的关键问题，最近政府间生物多样性和生态系统服务科学政策平台（IPBES）接受了这一研究。尤其是，对于跨价值和跨不同背景，从价值到未来的因果链的理解，对于确定集体寻求哪种可持续发展途径至关重要。在这项研究中，我们在跨学科知识共创过程的基础上，在捷克共和国（中欧）保护区进行了一系列本地案例研究。我们在创新的基于价值的参与性情景构建过程中应用了价值生命框架和三个视野框架，以探索（1）多种类型的价值，（2）不同类型的利益相关者采取的行动以及（3）之间的关系。它们对自然的潜在影响，自然对人类的贡献（包括生态系统服务）和良好的生活质量。由此产生的基于地方价值的途径显示出自然界的多种类型的价值与潜在的未来轨迹之间的复杂关系。最后，我们反思基于价值的参与性情景规划作为加强可持续治理的一种手段的实用性。