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Feasibility of the Northern Sea Route for seasonal transit navigation: The role of ship speed on ice and alternative fuel types for the oil product tanker market
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice ( IF 6.3 ) Pub Date : 2021-05-11 , DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2021.03.013
Dimitrios Theocharis , Vasco Sanchez Rodrigues , Stephen Pettit , Jane Haider

The feasibility of the Northern Sea Route is assessed for seasonal operations of oil product tankers using alternative fuel types. A speed optimisation model is used that minimises the required freight rate (RFR) of a Long Range 2 (LR2) tanker against alternative routes. A cost model is developed that incorporates real hourly speed data from tanker voyages between the 2011 and 2019 summer/autumn seasons, and primary and secondary data regarding cost and operational factors. The analysis is based on naphtha and jet fuel/kerosene trades between Europe and Asia. A prospective ban on the use of High Sulphur Fuel Oil (HSFO) in the Arctic, and alternative fuels, such as the new Very Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (VLSFO) and Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) are included to take into account of the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) 2020 global sulphur limit and its long-term strategy towards the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions.



中文翻译:

北海航线进行季节性过境航行的可行性:船舶速度对石油产品油轮市场在冰和替代燃料类型上的作用

对于使用替代燃料类型的成品油轮的季节性运营,评估了北海航线的可行性。使用了一种速度优化模型,该模型可以使远程2号(LR2)油轮相对于替代路线的所需运费(RFR)降至最低。开发了一种成本模型,该模型结合了2011年至2019年夏季/秋季之间油轮航行的实际每小时速度数据,以及有关成本和运营因素的主要和次要数据。该分析基于欧洲和亚洲之间的石脑油和喷气燃料/煤油贸易。未来将禁止在北极使用高硫燃料油(HSFO)和替代燃料,

更新日期:2021-05-11
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