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Climate variability and grain production in Scania, c. 1702–1911
Climate of the Past ( IF 3.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-05-10 , DOI: 10.5194/cp-2021-52
Martin Karl Skoglund

Abstract. Scania (sw. Skåne), southern Sweden, offers a particularly interesting case for studying the historical relationship between climate variability and grain production, given the favourable natural conditions in terms of climate and soils for grain production, as well as the relative lack of heat-sensitive grain varieties like wheat in its production composition. In this article, I combine a contextual understanding of historical grain production in Scania, including historical, phenological and natural geographic aspects, with quantitative analysis of available empirical sources to estimate the relationship between climate variability and grain production between the years c. 1702–1911. The main result of this study is that grain production in Scania was primarily sensitive to climate variability during the high summer months of June and July, preferring relatively cool and humid conditions, and to some extent precipitation during the winter months, preferring relatively dry conditions. Furthermore, grain production was relatively insensitive to climate variability during the spring, autumn and harvest seasons. At the end of the study period, these relationships were shifting as the so-called early improved cultivars were being imported from other parts of Europe. Finally, I also shed new light on the climate history of the region, especially for the late 18th century, previously argued to be a particularly cold period, through homogenization of the early instrumental series from Lund (1753–1870).

中文翻译:

斯堪尼亚的气候变异性和谷物产量,c。1702–1911年

摘要。斯堪尼亚(瑞士斯科讷),鉴于气候条件和谷物生产土壤条件良好,以及相对缺乏对热敏感的谷物品种,瑞典南部为研究气候变异性与谷物生产之间的历史关系提供了一个特别有趣的案例。小麦的生产组成。在本文中,我结合了对斯堪尼亚历史粮食生产的背景理解,包括历史,物候和自然地理方面,以及对可用经验来源的定量分析,以估算c年之间气候变异性与粮食生产之间的关系。1702–1911年。这项研究的主要结果是,在6月和7月的炎热夏季,斯堪尼亚的谷物产量主要对气候变化敏感,偏爱相对凉爽和潮湿的条件,并在一定程度上在冬季降水,偏爱相对干燥的条件。此外,在春季,秋季和收获季节,谷物生产对气候变化相对不敏感。在研究期结束时,由于从欧洲其他地方进口了所谓的早期改良品种,这些关系正在发生变化。最后,我也阐明了该地区的气候历史,尤其是在18世纪后期 随着所谓的早期改良品种从欧洲其他地区进口,这些关系正在发生变化。最后,我也阐明了该地区的气候历史,尤其是在18世纪后期 随着所谓的早期改良品种从欧洲其他地区进口,这些关系正在发生变化。最后,我也阐明了该地区的气候历史,尤其是在18世纪后期世纪,先前认为是一个特别冷期间,通过早期器乐系列均化从隆德大学(1853至70年)。
更新日期:2021-05-10
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