ABSTRACT

This paper addresses the current uncertain status of the NPT Review Conference, originally scheduled for 2020. When the Conference is eventually held, three principal issues likely to be examined are the continued failure to bring the CTBT into force; the lack of progress leading to an international conference on the importance of promptly negotiating a Weapons of Mass Destruction Free Zone for the Middle East, the cause of the failure of the 2015 Review Conference; and the effect on the Review Conference of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, which entered into force in January 2021. The 2020 Review Conference is now scheduled for August 2021. Thus the prediction of which matters will be most important at the Conference is somewhat uncertain. Whenever the Conference is held, serious issues will confront it. The Treaty has been weakened over the years; it is significantly endangered by the increasing threat of climate change. It is highly important to strengthen the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty, the centerpiece of international security, to maximize its chances to remain viable against the threat of climate change. A strong, positive Review Conference will do much to achieve this.

摘要

本文件解决了原定于2020年举行的《不扩散核武器条约》审议会议目前的不确定状态。当该会议最终举行时，可能要审查的三个主要问题是继续使《全面禁试条约》无法生效；缺乏进展导致召开国际会议，以召开关于迅速谈判中东无大规模毁灭性武器区的重要性的会议，这是2015年审议大会失败的原因；以及对于2021年1月生效的《禁止核武器条约》审议大会的影响。现在计划于2021年8月召开2020年审议大会。有点不确定。每当召开会议时，都会面临严重的问题。这些年来，该条约被削弱了。气候变化的威胁日趋严重，严重地威胁着该国。加强作为国际安全核心的《核不扩散条约》，以最大程度地保持抵抗气候变化威胁的机会，这一点极为重要。一个强大而积极的审查会议将为实现这一目标做出很大的贡献。