In this paper, we examine the labour market implications of permanent illness or injury from conflict among civilians. From 1969 to 1998, Northern Ireland experienced a violent ethnopolitical conflict characterized by terrorist bombing campaigns, sectarian killings and armed forces patrolling the streets. The consequences of this period for current high work disability rates are disputed by the main political parties. We address this question using a new high-quality dataset. Potential endogeneity and reverse causation issues are addressed using the intensity of conflict-related deaths as instruments. We find clear evidence that conflict has increased work disability by 28% points. The main doctor-diagnosed medical condition mediating this effect is mental ill health.

中文翻译：

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工作残疾和北爱尔兰问题*

在本文中，我们研究了平民之间冲突造成的永久性疾病或伤害对劳动力市场的影响。从 1969 年到 1998 年，北爱尔兰经历了一场以恐怖袭击、宗派屠杀和武装部队在街头巡逻为特征的暴力民族政治冲突。这一时期对当前高工作残疾率的影响受到主要政党的质疑。我们使用新的高质量数据集来解决这个问题。使用与冲突相关的死亡的强度作为工具来解决潜在的内生性和反向因果关系问题。我们发现明确的证据表明冲突使工作残疾增加了 28%。介导这种影响的主要医生诊断疾病是精神疾病。