ABSTRACT

Using balanced panel data of 62 countries (regions) from 1995 to 2011, we explore the linkage between a country’s participation in global value chains (GVC) and its carbon emissions using spatial panel econometric models. We find: First, positive spatial dependency does exist between countries. Second, forward and backward GVC participation has different spatial spillover effects, with the latter causing most of the spillovers. Third, regarding industry heterogeneity, the manufacturing sector generates a stronger spatial spillover than the service sector. High-tech manufacturing sub-industries show stronger spillovers, compared to low-tech sub-industries. Finally, we propose policy suggestions for international relations and environmental governance.

摘要

利用1995-2011年62个国家（地区）的平衡面板数据，我们利用空间面板计量模型探讨了一个国家参与全球价值链（GVC）与其碳排放之间的联系。我们发现：首先，国家之间确实存在正空间依赖。其次，前向和后向GVC参与具有不同的空间溢出效应，后者造成了大部分溢出。第三，在行业异质性方面，制造业比服务业产生更强的空间溢出效应。与低技术子行业相比，高技术制造业子行业的溢出效应更强。最后，对国际关系和环境治理提出政策建议。