This paper examines the apparently adverse environment for the viability of the European Social Model (ESoM) and identifies the main factors relevant to the consolidation of the model. It first looks back at the way in which social issues have been dealt with by European Union (EU) institutions, then seeks to identify the main internal and external challenges facing the ESoM. The crisis and the exit strategy initially adopted in the EU (based on austerity policies) compounded these challenges and threatened the model. An interpretation of this crossroads and the foreseeable scenarios for the model are presented under alternative hypotheses with and without specific EU intervention. This paper adopts the globalization theory of the welfare state. Accordingly, its main hypothesis is that unless decisive action is taken by EU institutions the ESoM faces progressive erosion or dilution in a globalized economy.

JEL Classification: I38, H53, F60, F15, F68

本文研究了对欧洲社会模型（ESoM）的可行性存在明显不利影响的环境，并确定了与该模型整合相关的主要因素。它首先回顾了欧盟（EU）机构处理社会问题的方式，然后试图确定ESoM面临的主要内部和外部挑战。欧盟最初采用的危机和退出战略（基于紧缩政策）加剧了这些挑战，并威胁了该模型。在有或没有特定欧盟干预的情况下，在替代假设下，将对这一十字路口和该模型的可预见情景进行解释。本文采用了福利国家的全球化理论。 因此，其主要假设是，除非欧盟机构采取果断行动，否则ESoM会在全球化经济中面临逐渐的侵蚀或稀释。

JEL分类：I38，H53，F60，F15，F68