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A predictive model to estimate effort in a sprint using machine learning techniques
International Journal of Information Technology Pub Date : 2021-04-28 , DOI: 10.1007/s41870-021-00669-z
Melvina Autar Ramessur , Soulakshmee Devi Nagowah

Effort estimation is an essential task in a software project as it helps to establish feasible plans for the implementation of a project. It largely influences success or failure of the project. Project planning becomes more efficient with accurate effort estimates, thus providing a number of benefits to the organization. Estimating effort in agile projects has been a challenging task for researchers. Several studies exist in that domain. While some have considered people-related factors, others have catered for project-related factors for estimating effort. Others have adopted machine learning (ML) techniques to produce an accurate estimation. This paper presents a model to estimate and predict effort in a sprint using ML techniques while considering various factors that affect a sprint. The model has been evaluated using various regression algorithms, namely linear regression, K-nearest neighbor, decision tree, polynomial kernel, radius basis function and multi-layer perception (MLP). The model has produced more reliable estimates, with low error values using MLP algorithm.



中文翻译:

使用机器学习技术估算冲刺中的工作量的预测模型

努力估算是软件项目中的一项基本任务,因为它有助于为项目的实施建立可行的计划。它在很大程度上影响项目的成败。通过准确的工作量估算,项目计划将变得更加高效,从而为组织带来许多好处。评估敏捷项目的工作量对于研究人员而言是一项艰巨的任务。在该领域中存在一些研究。尽管有些人考虑了与人有关的因素,但另一些人则考虑了与项目有关的因素以估算工作量。其他人则采用机器学习(ML)技术来产生准确的估计。本文提出了一种模型,该模型使用ML技术估算和预测冲刺的工作量,同时考虑了影响冲刺的各种因素。该模型已使用各种回归算法进行了评估,即线性回归,K近邻,决策树,多项式核,半径基函数和多层感知(MLP)。该模型使用MLP算法产生了更可靠的估计值,并且误差值低。

更新日期:2021-04-29
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