Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to present a viewpoint about the short- and long-term future of tourism in the light of the effects of the response to Covid-19 and the implications of potential changes tourism might be facing.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper is based on a review of current media and academic commentaries and articles on the impact of Covid-19 on tourism, and the likelihood of changes being forced on tourism by external agents of change desiring a different form that the industry should take.

Findings

Current concerns and changes in patterns of tourism are being driven by two main forces: restrictions imposed on travel, both domestic and international, and fear by potential tourists and destination hosts of infection being caused by the resumption of tourist travel. The situation is extremely vulnerable, changing long-established patterns of behaviour and the effects of tourism on economies, communities and environments. The future for tourism is seen as generally positive in the long term, but agents of change opposed to the traditional patterns of tourism may create a negative environment that could cause severe disruption to the industry and its customers, unless tourism displays willingness and resolve to correct previously inappropriate ways of operating.

Originality/value

This paper presents a viewpoint about the short- and long-term future of tourism.

中文翻译：

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旅游业–具有韧性，但在“新常态”中处于“变化时代”的脆弱性

目的

本文的目的是根据对Covid-19的反应的影响以及旅游业可能面临的潜在变化的影响，提出关于旅游业短期和长期未来的观点。

设计/方法/方法

本文基于对Covid-19对旅游业的影响的当前媒体和学术评论以及文章的回顾，以及由外部变革者强迫变革的可能性，这些变革希望改变行业应采取的形式。

发现

当前对旅游业方式的关注和变化是由两个主要因素驱动的：对国内和国际旅行的限制，以及潜在的游客和目的地东道主对因恢复旅行而引起的感染的恐惧。这种情况极为脆弱，改变了长期以来的行为方式以及旅游业对经济，社区和环境的影响。从长远来看，旅游业的未来总体上看似乐观，但与传统旅游业模式背道而驰的变革推动者可能会创造负面环境，可能对行业及其客户造成严重破坏，除非旅游业表现出意愿并决心改正。以前不合适的操作方式。

创意/价值

本文提出了关于旅游的短期和长期前景的观点。