The paper has two main goals: to draw a summary picture of the progress made towards transport decarbonisation in Europe, and to identify future developments concerning the 2020–2030 decade. The analysis is based on the 4th and 5th reports prepared by the Member States under the obligation Renewable Energy Directive (2009/28/EC) and on the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) for the 2020–2030 decade, paying specific attention to the use of renewables in the transport sector. We find that the Member States rely on two strategies: increasing the production and use of biofuels, especially those produced by advanced materials, and supporting the diffusion of electric vehicles. Performing a scenario analysis capturing the planned policies and goals indicated in the NECPs, we estimate that the biofuel strategy can deliver a GHG reduction of up to 19 MtCO2eq (−3.6%), while the electrification strategy can deliver a GHG reduction up to 45 MtCO2eq (−8.3%). Jointly used, the GHG reduction could reach up to 64 MtCO2eq (−11.9%).

该文件有两个主要目标：概述欧洲在交通运输脱碳方面取得的进展，并确定 2020-2030 十年的未来发展。该分析基于成员国根据可再生能源指令 (2009/28/EC) 义务编写的第 4 次和第 5 次报告以及 2020-2030 十年的国家能源和气候计划 (NECP)，特别关注在交通运输部门使用可再生能源。我们发现成员国依赖两种策略：增加生物燃料的生产和使用，特别是由先进材料生产的生物燃料，以及支持电动汽车的推广。执行情景分析，捕捉 NECP 中指明的计划政策和目标，我们估计，生物燃料战略可以减少高达 19 MtCO2eq (-3.6%) 的温室气体，而电气化战略可以减少高达 45 MtCO2eq (-8.3%) 的温室气体。联合使用时，温室气体减排量可高达 64 MtCO2eq (-11.9%)。