ABSTRACT

2019 marked the 25^th anniversary of normalizing Jordanian-Israeli relations and the ‘warm’ peace-making between the two countries. Representing key partners and neighbours in the Middle East, Jordan and Israel have maintained political and economic ties since 1994. The pro-Western stance of both countries, and their common interest in maintaining regional stability, led Jordan and Israel to pursue similar foreign policy aims regarding various regional upheavals, as well as the Palestine-Israeli dispute. Jordanian-Israeli relations have, however, been caught amidst shifts in the US’s Middle East Policy under the Trump administration, which has raised questions over the status of Jerusalem and the West Bank. With respect to these developments, this article argues that the disaccord between the US/Israel and Jordan over these two places reveals that a politics of identity remains a pillar of the Kingdom’s stability and survival. Although both countries are being confronted with the same regional challenges, particularly in the wake of the war in Syria, the re-emergence of the rhetoric of ‘Jordan is Palestine’ – which poses the country as an alternative homeland for Palestinians (al-watan al-badil) – nowadays constitutes the top security concern for the Hashemite monarchy, and has the potential to undermine Jordanian-Israeli relations going forward.

中文翻译：

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约旦-以色列建立和平25年：从“温暖和平”到“冷和平”？

摘要

2019年是25^日约旦与以色列关系正常化的周年纪念日，以及两国之间“热烈”的缔造和平。自1994年以来，约旦和以色列代表中东的主要伙伴和邻国保持了政治和经济联系。两国的亲西方立场以及他们在维护地区稳定方面的共同利益促使约旦和以色列追求类似的外交政策目标。关于各种地区动荡以及巴勒斯坦与以色列之间的争端。然而，约旦与以色列之间的关系陷入了特朗普政府领导下的美国中东政策转变之中，这引发了人们对耶路撒冷和西岸地位的质疑。关于这些发展，本文认为，美国/以色列和约旦在这两个地方之间的分歧表明，身份政治仍然是沙特王国稳定和生存的支柱。尽管两国都面临着相同的地区挑战，特别是在叙利亚战争爆发后，但“约旦是巴勒斯坦”的言论再次出现，这使该国成为巴勒斯坦人的替代家园（al-watan al-badil）–如今已成为哈希姆君主专制国家的最高安全关切，并有可能破坏未来的约旦-以色列关系。