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Evaluating economic impacts of utility scale solar photovoltaic localisation in South Africa
Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy ( IF 3.9 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-14 , DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2021.1894513
Stanley Semelane 1, 2 , Nnamdi Nwulu 3 , Njabulo Kambule 1 , Henerica Tazvinga 4
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT

The localization process seeks to ensure that the production of particular components occurs from local companies, thus restricting manufacturing to local firms. Solar Photovoltaic (PV) panels localization can stimulate regional economic development in coal phase-out regions. This paper uses the Jobs and Economic Development Impact (JEDI) model to assess the economic impact of enhanced solar PV localization and further analyses enhanced solar PV Local Content Requirements (LCRs) scenarios. The study determined that the optimization of LCRs has a positive influence on employment and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) under the considered timeframes (2020−2030). Specifically, the study found that a total of Full-Time-Equivalent (FTE) jobs that would be created by a 100% LCRs will be 249 315 over 10 years. An 80% LCRs scenario projected that a total of 219 513 jobs will be created while the overall economic impact is estimated to be USD 74 975, 248.43 over 10 years.



中文翻译:

评估南非公用事业规模太阳能光伏本地化的经济影响

摘要

本地化过程旨在确保特定组件的生产来自本地公司,从而将制造限制在本地公司。太阳能光伏 (PV) 面板本地化可以刺激煤炭淘汰地区的区域经济发展。本文使用就业和经济发展影响 (JEDI) 模型来评估增强型太阳能光伏本地化的经济影响,并进一步分析增强型太阳能光伏本地含量要求 (LCR) 方案。该研究确定,在所考虑的时间范围内(2020-2030 年),LCR 的优化对就业和国内生产总值 (GDP) 具有积极影响。具体而言,该研究发现,100% LCR 将在 10 年内创造的全职等效 (FTE) 工作岗位总数将达到 249 315 个。

更新日期:2021-05-30
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