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Air pollution forecasting application based on deep learning model and optimization algorithm
Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy ( IF 4.2 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-14 , DOI: 10.1007/s10098-021-02080-5
Azim Heydari , Meysam Majidi Nezhad , Davide Astiaso Garcia , Farshid Keynia , Livio De Santoli

Air pollution monitoring is constantly increasing, giving more and more attention to its consequences on human health. Since Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and sulfur dioxide (SO2) are the major pollutants, various models have been developed on predicting their potential damages. Nevertheless, providing precise predictions is almost impossible. In this study, a new hybrid intelligent model based on long short-term memory (LSTM) and multi-verse optimization algorithm (MVO) has been developed to predict and analysis the air pollution obtained from Combined Cycle Power Plants. In the proposed model, long short-term memory model is a forecaster engine to predict the amount of produced NO2 and SO2 by the Combined Cycle Power Plant, where the MVO algorithm is used to optimize the LSTM parameters in order to achieve a lower forecasting error. In addition, in order to evaluate the proposed model performance, the model has been applied using real data from a Combined Cycle Power Plant in Kerman, Iran. The datasets include wind speed, air temperature, NO2, and SO2 for five months (May–September 2019) with a time step of 3-h. In addition, the model has been tested based on two different types of input parameters: type (1) includes wind speed, air temperature, and different lagged values of the output variables (NO2 and SO2); type (2) includes just lagged values of the output variables (NO2 and SO2). The obtained results show that the proposed model has higher accuracy than other combined forecasting benchmark models (ENN-PSO, ENN-MVO, and LSTM-PSO) considering different network input variables.

Graphic abstract



中文翻译:

基于深度学习模型和优化算法的空气污染预测应用

空气污染监测在不断增加,越来越关注其对人类健康的影响。由于二氧化氮(NO 2)和二氧化硫(SO 2)是主要污染物,因此已经建立了各种模型来预测其潜在危害。尽管如此,提供精确的预测几乎是不可能的。在这项研究中,基于长期短期记忆(LSTM)和多节优化算法(MVO)的新型混合智能模型已被开发出来,用于预测和分析联合循环电厂的空气污染。在提出的模型中,长短期记忆模型是预测器引擎,用于预测NO 2和SO 2的产生量由联合循环发电厂负责,其中MVO算法用于优化LSTM参数,以实现较低的预测误差。此外,为了评估建议的模型性能,已使用来自伊朗克尔曼联合循环发电厂的实际数据应用了该模型。数据集包括五个月(2019年5月至9月)的风速,气温,NO 2和SO 2,时间步长为3小时。另外,已经基于两种不同类型的输入参数对模型进行了测试:类型(1)包括风速,空气温度和输出变量(NO 2和SO 2)的不同滞后值;类型(2)仅包括输出变量的滞后值(NO 2和SO2)。获得的结果表明,与考虑不同网络输入变量的其他组合预测基准模型(ENN-PSO,ENN-MVO和LSTM-PSO)相比,所提出的模型具有更高的准确性。

图形摘要

更新日期:2021-04-14
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