This study investigates key correlates of poverty persistence and the consequences and coping strategies of climate-induced shocks and stressors in Niger, Tanzania, and Uganda. It relies on household panel data merged with data on subnational disasters across the three countries and employs multiple measures to capture disaster prevalence of droughts, floods, and epidemics, recorded variably at the household and subnational levels. Multivariate regression analysis uncovers that environment shocks prolong poverty through direct biophysical impacts but also indirectly through various negative consequences and distress coping mechanisms in which vulnerable households engage. These include reduced food consumption and food insecurity and reduced asset values. While subnationally there are positive undercurrents, through relief aid and other forms of support that could help protect or replace assets, at the micro-level, the results suggest that many households may survive through migration and local remittances to complement household welfare. Ensuring a supportive financial environment for poor households in these contexts, alongside risk-informed policy and programming, would help alleviate key stressors that keep households persistently under the poverty line in contexts of climate-induced shocks and stressors.

中文翻译：

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气候冲击和贫困持续存在：调查尼日尔、坦桑尼亚和乌干达的后果和应对策略

本研究调查了尼日尔、坦桑尼亚和乌干达贫困持续存在的关键相关因素以及气候引起的冲击和压力源的后果和应对策略。它依赖于家庭面板数据与三个国家的地方灾害数据合并，并采用多种措施来捕捉干旱、洪水和流行病的灾害发生率，这些数据在家庭和国家以下各级有不同的记录。多元回归分析揭示，环境冲击通过直接的生物物理影响延长贫困，但也通过各种负面后果和弱势家庭参与的困境应对机制间接延长贫困。其中包括减少粮食消费和粮食不安全以及降低资产价值。虽然在地方层面存在积极的暗流，通过救济援助和其他形式的支持，可以在微观层面帮助保护或更换资产，结果表明，许多家庭可以通过移民和当地汇款来补充家庭福利。在这些情况下确保为贫困家庭提供支持性的金融环境，同时制定风险知情的政策和规划，将有助于缓解在气候引起的冲击和压力因素的背景下使家庭持续处于贫困线以下的关键压力因素。