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Drought-related vulnerability and its policy implications in Hungary
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change ( IF 4 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-08 , DOI: 10.1007/s11027-021-09943-8
Attila Buzási , Tamás Pálvölgyi , Diána Esses

Drought phenomena have been frequent in Hungarian history. One of the most important sectors in Hungary is agriculture, so the agricultural drought is a particularly important area to be examined. The purpose of the study is to determine how vulnerable each county (NUTS-3 regions) is to the expected effects of drought. The study provides an assessment framework of drought-related vulnerabilities and the preparedness of drought policies at the NUTS-3 level in Hungary. The drought-related vulnerability of NUTS-3 regions was determined by selected exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity indicators. The calculation of drought vulnerability is based on the IPCC 2007 methodology, while the input data were derived from the National Adaptation Geo-information System online data platform and Hungarian agro-statistical data sources. An assessment framework of drought-related policy performance of NUTS-3-level climate change strategies was developed. The evaluation methodology is based on a specific scorecard of evaluation criteria related to the performance of the county’s drought-related objectives and measures. According to the relationship between the county’s drought-related vulnerability and policy performance, the counties were classified into four types. The main results show that several counties fail the target by overestimating the role of drought prevention, with little vulnerability index. In contrast, many counties are not adequately prepared for the impacts of drought, despite their high vulnerability index.



中文翻译:

与干旱有关的脆弱性及其在匈牙利的政策影响

在匈牙利历史上,干旱现象屡见不鲜。匈牙利最重要的部门之一是农业,因此农业干旱是一个特别重要的领域。该研究的目的是确定每个县(NUTS-3地区)对干旱的预期影响有多脆弱。该研究提供了一个与干旱有关的脆弱性评估框架,以及匈牙利NUTS-3一级干旱政策的准备情况。NUTS-3地区与干旱相关的脆弱性是由选定的暴露程度,敏感性和适应能力指标确定的。干旱脆弱性的计算基于IPCC 2007方法,而输入数据来自国家适应地理信息系统在线数据平台和匈牙利农业统计数据源。建立了NUTS-3级气候变化战略中与干旱相关的政策绩效评估框架。评估方法是基于与该县干旱相关目标和措施的绩效相关的评估标准的特定记分卡。根据县干旱相关脆弱性与政策绩效之间的关系,将县分为四类。主要结果表明,有几个县由于高估了干旱的预防作用而没有达到目标,而脆弱性指数却很少。相比之下,尽管许多县的脆弱性指数很高,但它们并未为干旱的影响做好充分的准备。评估方法是基于与该县干旱相关目标和措施的绩效相关的评估标准的特定记分卡。根据县干旱相关脆弱性与政策绩效之间的关系,将县分为四类。主要结果表明,有几个县由于高估了干旱的预防作用而没有达到目标,而脆弱性指数却很少。相比之下,尽管许多县的脆弱性指数很高,但它们并未为干旱的影响做好充分的准备。评估方法是基于与该县干旱相关目标和措施的绩效相关的评估标准的特定记分卡。根据县干旱相关脆弱性与政策绩效之间的关系,将县分为四类。主要结果表明,有几个县由于高估了干旱的预防作用而没有达到目标,而脆弱性指数却很少。相比之下,尽管许多县的脆弱性指数很高,但它们并未为干旱的影响做好充分的准备。主要结果表明,有几个县由于高估了干旱的预防作用而没有达到目标,而脆弱性指数却很少。相比之下,尽管许多县的脆弱性指数很高,但它们并未为干旱的影响做好充分的准备。主要结果表明,有几个县由于高估了干旱的预防作用而没有达到目标,而脆弱性指数却很少。相比之下,尽管许多县的脆弱性指数很高,但它们并未为干旱的影响做好充分的准备。

更新日期:2021-04-08
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