This study was undertaken in Laikipia County, Kenya, to identify factors influencing the choices of strategies by pastoralists to adapt to climate change. The study particularly evaluates the role of perceived climate extremes (frequency of dry spells and droughts), early warning information, and access to private ranch grazing, in determining response decisions to climate change. Besides, we test if households jointly adopt climate change adaptation strategies. The primary data collected from 440 sample households was analyzed using the multivariate probit (MVP) model. In the MVP model, we consider the following measures: increased mobility (distance & frequency), storage/purchase of fodder, change in water management, partial shift to other livelihoods, and herd management. The results reveal that these adaptation strategies are jointly adopted by pastoralists as complements and substitutes. From the empirical result, the perceived increase in the number of dry spells and drought, access to early warning information, access to private ranch grazing, main market distance from homesteads, and the highest level of education in the household are the key determinants of the choices of adaptation strategies to cope with drought and climate change. From a policy perspective, this research contributes to the ongoing debate on best practices by addressing climate change-related challenges in semi-arid land management. Therefore, there is a need for early warning institutions to increase their visibility in the semi-arid areas by exploring effective methods of delivering climate risk information in good time. Improving access to market and private ranch grazing should be promoted in the Kenyan semi-arid areas. Given that pastoralists’ perceptions of climate change and climate risk is a decisive variable in adaptation decision-making, there is need to improve the understanding of pastoralists’ changing climatic conditions. Furthermore, since the results indicate that mobility and storage of fodder are substitutes, the adoption of hay production could become a key production strategy for pastoralists which will increase the competitiveness of their livestock in the market and increase milk production.

这项研究是在肯尼亚莱基皮亚县进行的，目的是找出影响牧民适应气候变化的策略选择的因素。该研究特别评估了感知到的极端气候（干旱和干旱的频率），预警信息以及获得私人牧场放牧的机会在确定应对气候变化的决定中的作用。此外，我们测试了家庭是否共同采取了适应气候变化的策略。使用多元概率（MVP）模型分析了从440个样本家庭收集的主要数据。在MVP模型中，我们考虑以下措施：增加流动性（距离和频率），饲料的存储/购买，水管理的变化，部分生计的转移以及畜群管理。结果表明，这些适应策略是牧民共同采用的补充和替代方法。从实证结果来看，干旱和干旱的数量增加，获得预警信息的机会，获得私人牧场放牧的机会，与宅基地的主要市场距离以及家庭中最高的教育水平，都是决定性的关键因素。应对干旱和气候变化的适应策略选择。从政策角度来看，这项研究通过应对半干旱土地管理中与气候变化相关的挑战，为有关最佳做法的持续辩论做出了贡献。因此，需要预警机构通过探索及时提供气候风险信息的有效方法来提高其在半干旱地区的知名度。肯尼亚半干旱地区应促进市场和私人牧场放牧的改善。鉴于牧民对气候变化和气候风险的看法是适应性决策的决定性变量，因此有必要加深对牧民气候变化状况的了解。此外，由于结果表明饲料的流动性和储存性是替代品，因此采用干草生产可能成为牧民的关键生产策略，这将提高牲畜在市场上的竞争力并增加牛奶产量。有必要加深对牧民气候变化的了解。此外，由于结果表明饲料的流动性和储存性是替代品，因此采用干草生产可能成为牧民的关键生产策略，这将提高牲畜在市场上的竞争力并增加牛奶产量。有必要加深对牧民气候变化的了解。此外，由于结果表明饲料的流动性和储存性是替代品，因此采用干草生产可能成为牧民的关键生产策略，这将提高牲畜在市场上的竞争力并增加牛奶产量。