This paper investigated the dynamics between trade openness and energy consumption in five members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and three East Asian countries from 1980 to 2014. Previous theoretical discussions and empirical findings pointed out that trade openness had ambiguous effects on energy consumption. A panel dataset involving energy consumption per capita, trade openness, real gross domestic product per capita, gross fixed capital formation per capita and foreign direct investment was estimated. The Lagrange multiplier (LM) cross-sectional dependence test confirms the existence of cross-sectional dependence among the cross-sectional units. Moreover, the Westerlund cointegration test showed that the variables were not cointegrated. Hence, the dynamics among the variables were explored using the panel vector autoregressive method. The results suggested that there is a unidirectional Granger causality from trade openness to energy consumption. Further, the impulse response functions implied that the effect of trade openness on energy consumption occurred via the dynamics between trade openness and gross capital formation per capita. Finally, the forecast error variance decomposition showed that the contribution of trade openness on energy consumption increased during the examined period.

本文研究了1980年至2014年东南亚国家联盟（ASEAN）的五个成员国和三个东亚国家的贸易开放度与能源消耗之间的关系。先前的理论讨论和实证研究结果表明，贸易开放度对能源的影响不明确。消耗。估算了一个包含人均能耗，贸易开放度，人均实际国内生产总值，人均固定资本形成总额和外国直接投资的面板数据集。拉格朗日乘数（LM）截面相关性测试确认了截面单位之间存在截面相关性。此外，Westerlund协整检验表明变量没有协整。因此，使用面板向量自回归方法探索变量之间的动态关系。结果表明，从贸易开放到能源消耗存在单向的格兰杰因果关系。此外，脉冲响应函数暗示贸易开放度对能源消耗的影响是通过贸易开放度与人均资本形成总额之间的动态关系发生的。最后，预测误差方差分解表明，贸易开放度对能源消耗的贡献在审查期间有所增加。脉冲响应函数暗示贸易开放度对能源消耗的影响是通过贸易开放度与人均资本形成总额之间的动态关系而发生的。最后，预测误差方差分解表明，贸易开放度对能源消耗的贡献在审查期间有所增加。脉冲响应函数暗示贸易开放度对能源消耗的影响是通过贸易开放度与人均资本形成总额之间的动态关系而发生的。最后，预测误差方差分解表明，贸易开放度对能源消耗的贡献在审查期间有所增加。