ABSTRACT

This commentary asks why Russia has started again to invest in land-based intermediate-range missiles, which can be used both in conventional and nuclear roles. As resorting to the action-reaction scheme cannot explain Russian efforts, the nature of the specific Russian approach towards military issues requires consideration. Russia obviously seeks to achieve major strategic advantages in case of a regional war occurring in Europe by having available a capability for escalation dominance. Only Russia can initiate such a war, not the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation [NATO]. The Western Alliance should respond by improving the conventional defence capabilities with which it is going to protect particularly the Baltic States and Poland. Moreover, NATO will have to review its nuclear posture in Europe.

摘要

这篇评论质疑俄罗斯为何再次开始投资陆基中程导弹，这种导弹既可用于常规用途，也可用于核用途。由于诉诸行动-反应方案无法解释俄罗斯的努力，因此需要考虑俄罗斯针对军事问题采取的具体方法的性质。显然，在欧洲发生区域战争的情况下，俄罗斯寻求通过发挥主导优势的能力来取得重大战略优势。只有俄罗斯可以发动这样的战争，而北大西洋公约组织（北约）则不能。西方联盟应通过提高常规防御能力做出反应，以特别保护波罗的海国家和波兰。此外，北约将不得不审查其在欧洲的核态势。