ABSTRACT

The increasing frequency of negative rainfall shocks presents households with the challenging choice of whether to send their children to school or to withdraw them in order for them to provide support in the household. We use high-resolution spatial rainfall data matched with the georeferenced Uganda National Panel Survey data to estimate the effect of negative rainfall shocks on children’s school attendance. We find that exposure to negative rainfall shocks significantly reduces children’s school attendance by almost 10%. These results have important policy implications for improving children’s schooling, particularly in geographical areas that receive particularly erratic rainfalls, in Uganda.

摘要

负降雨冲击的频率越来越高，家庭面临着是让孩子上学还是让他们退学以便他们为家庭提供支持的挑战。我们使用与地理参考乌干达国家面板调查数据匹配的高分辨率空间降雨数据来估计负降雨冲击对儿童入学率的影响。我们发现，暴露于负降雨冲击会显着降低儿童的入学率近 10%。这些结果对改善儿童的教育具有重要的政策意义，特别是在乌干达降雨特别不稳定的地理区域。