Abstract

This study evaluates the recidivism impact of the Tidewater Reentry Initiative (TRI) for medium and high-risk juveniles released from secure statewide facilities. TRI used an intensive case management model combined with in-reach prerelease reentry planning. Impact was assessed using propensity score (PS) weighting in a geographic comparison design. Treatment youth were released from statewide facilities to the Tidewater area of Virginia; comparison youth were released to a comparison area. PSs were used to balance the samples on demographics, current case characteristics, and criminal history. Descriptively, treatment youth showed lower rearrest and reconviction rates at 6, 12, and 24 months following release than comparison youth. Survival analyses examined time to first rearrest, reconviction, and reincarceration, using 6 months to 6 years of follow-up data. Treatment youth were slower to be rearrested and reconvicted, which was significant at the p < .10 level in Cox proportional hazard models. These beneficial effects appear concentrated among the youth released as adults, but formal tests of the interaction were not significant. The intensive case management model seems to have promise to delay recidivism, although high recidivism rates suggest that the model is not intensive enough for high risk youth involved in the juvenile justice system.

摘要

这项研究评估了潮水再入计划（TRI）对从安全的全州设施释放的中高风险青少年的累犯影响。TRI使用了密集的案例管理模型，并结合了范围内的预发行再入计划。在地理比较设计中使用倾向得分（PS）权重评估了影响。青年治疗人员从全州的机构被释放到弗吉尼亚州的潮水地区。比较青年被释放到比较区。PS用于平衡人口统计，当前案件特征和犯罪记录的样本。从描述上讲，治疗后的青年在释放后的6、12和24个月时的后坐和定罪率低于比较青年。生存分析检查了首次复仇，定罪和再次监禁的时间，使用6个月至6年的随访数据。治疗后的青年被重新逮捕和定罪的速度较慢，这在青少年时期是很重要的。在Cox比例风险模型中，p <.10级。这些有益的作用似乎集中在成年后释放的年轻人中，但是对相互作用的正式测试并不重要。密集案件管理模型似乎有望延迟再犯，尽管高再犯率表明该模型对于涉及少年司法系统的高风险青少年而言不够密集。