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Recent progress in parameter change test for integer-valued time series models
Journal of the Korean Statistical Society ( IF 0.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-03-25 , DOI: 10.1007/s42952-020-00102-4
Sangyeol Lee , Byungsoo Kim

In this study, we review a recent progress regarding the change point test for integer-valued time series models, specifically concentrating on the CUSUM test for integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (INGARCH) models. Because time series often experience changes in underlying models, the change point test has been a fundamental issue in time series analysis during the past decades. We first introduce the CUSUM test in a general set-up and then construct estimate-, score vector- and residual-based CUSUM tests in INAR and INGARCH models and state their limiting null distributions. Finally, the residual-based CUSUM of squares test and the robust change point test based on the density power divergence are addressed.



中文翻译:

整数值时间序列模型的参数更改测试的最新进展

在这项研究中,我们回顾了有关整数值时间序列模型的更改点检验的最新进展,特别是针对整数值自回归(INAR)和广义自回归条件异方差(INGARCH)模型的CUSUM检验。由于时间序列经常会经历基础模型的更改,因此在过去的几十年中,更改点测试一直是时间序列分析中的一个基本问题。我们首先在一般设置中介绍CUSUM检验,然后在INAR和INGARCH模型中构造基于估计,得分向量和残差的CUSUM检验,并说明其极限零分布。最后,讨论了基于残差的平方CUSUM检验和基于密度幂散的鲁棒变化点检验。

更新日期:2021-03-25
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