ABSTRACT

Focused on Ecuador’s Economy this article analyses for the 2000–2014 period. (i) What have the drivers of CO₂ emission in Ecuador been? (ii) What are the determining factors to be focused on with regards to energy policy efforts and the mitigation of GHG emissions? And (iii) Is the economy of Ecuador moving towards decoupling between economic growth and environmental stress? To respond to question (i), a decomposition analysis of the change in CO₂ emissions has been developed using the LMDI-I model. The decomposing factors or effects used include Carbon Intensity, Renewable Energy Sources penetration, Energy Intensity, Economic Structure, Economic Activity and Population. To answer question (ii) a so-called Innovative Accounting Approach (IAA) has been implemented. Another innovative aspect of the methodology used has been to incorporate decoupling analysis between economic growth and environmental stress. This facilitates answering question (iii) which is the first time that a comprehensive model is undertaken as described. The methodological approach of the paper linking decoupling analysis with an ex-post approach (LMDI) and with an ex-ante one (IAA) makes its contribution going beyond the specifics of the case of Ecuador. Additionally, Literature focused on Ecuador is scarce when compared with other countries size similar.

摘要

本文重点关注厄瓜多尔的经济，分析了 2000-2014 年期间的情况。(i)厄瓜多尔CO _{2排放的驱动因素是什么？}(ii) 在能源政策努力和温室气体减排方面需要关注哪些决定性因素？(iii) 厄瓜多尔的经济是否正在走向经济增长与环境压力之间的脱钩？为了回答问题 (i)，对 CO _{2的变化进行分解分析}排放量是使用 LMDI-I 模型开发的。使用的分解因素或影响包括碳强度、可再生能源渗透率、能源强度、经济结构、经济活动和人口。为回答问题 (ii)，实施了所谓的创新会计方法 (IAA)。所用方法的另一个创新方面是结合经济增长和环境压力之间的脱钩分析。这有助于回答问题 (iii)，这是第一次采用所描述的综合模型。本文将脱钩分析与事后分析 (LMDI) 和事前分析 (IAA) 联系起来的方法论方法，其贡献超出了厄瓜多尔案例的具体情况。此外，