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TICKED OFF, BUT SCARED OFF? RIOTS AND THE FATE OF NONVIOLENT CAMPAIGNS
Mobilization ( IF 1.3 ) Pub Date : 2021-03-26 , DOI: 10.17813/1086-671x-26-1-21
Luke Abbs , Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

Research on the relationship between nonviolent and violent dissent has focused on explicit shifts in organized strategies, disregarding less-organized forms of violence such as riots. Even though disorganized violence is common, we know little about how it influences the onset and fate of antigovernment nonviolent campaigns. Activists frequently argue that nonviolent discipline is essential and disorganized violence is counterproductive for effective large-scale mobilization. However, others emphasize how disorganized violence could have a mobilizing effect on large-scale protest and revitalize a nonviolent campaign. We detail these competing perspectives on how riots can influence the onset and outcomes of nonviolent campaigns. We then evaluate these contending claims empirically by examining how riots affect the initial emergence of nonviolent campaigns and the likelihood that campaigns will terminate. We find that nonviolent mobilization is less likely to emerge after riots, and ongoing campaigns are more likely to collapse under higher rates of rioting.



中文翻译:

已勾选,但已取消?暴乱与非暴力活动的命运

对非暴力与暴力异议之间关系的研究集中在有组织战略的显着转变上,而忽略了诸如暴动等组织性较低的暴力形式。尽管无组织的暴力很普遍,但我们对其如何影响反政府非暴力运动的开始和命运知之甚少。活动家经常争辩说,非暴力纪律是必不可少的,无组织的暴力对于有效的大规模动员会适得其反。但是,其他人则强调,无组织的暴力如何能够对大规模抗议活动产生动员作用,并振兴一场非暴力运动。我们详细介绍了这些相互竞争的观点,说明暴动如何影响非暴力运动的爆发和结果。然后,我们通过检查骚乱如何影响非暴力运动的最初出现以及运动将终止的可能性,从经验上评估这些争执的主张。我们发现,骚乱后不太可能出现非暴力动员,而在骚乱发生率较高的情况下,正在进行的运动更有可能崩溃。

更新日期:2021-03-27
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