Purpose

This study aims to present a method to carry out technological foresight exercises in university technological research and development centers (TRDCs). The results support the organizational planning process.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors review the literature on the frameworks of foresight. The authors propose the use of quantitative (bibliometrics) and qualitative (expert meeting, Delphi) techniques. The authors apply this method to each research topic of interest of the TRDCs.

Findings

The application of the method to a research topic allows us to analyze the relevant knowledge areas for the development of that topic and its global trend. For each area, the authors identify the specific lines of research with the greatest growth and relevance. Considering these lines, the authors make a diagnosis of the TRDC situation regarding how to provide knowledge to decision-makers.

Research limitations/implications

The paper reviews the results of the application in the Engineering Institute of the National Autonomous University of Mexico and in the research topic “Seismic risks in civil engineering.” It is necessary to adjust the application of the method in other TRDCs to the conditions of the organization and to the development achieved by the TRDCs in the analyzed research topic.

Originality/value

There is no detailed literature on technological foresight exercises in university TRDCs that support the planning process of the organization. The method represents a proposal to establish priority research topics and specific research lines in research institutes, particularly universities. The authors present the application in a university TRDCs in Mexico.

中文翻译：

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技术远见作为研发中心规划的支持：EI-UNAM 案例

目的

本研究旨在提出一种在大学技术研究与开发中心 (TRDC) 中进行技术前瞻练习的方法。结果支持组织规划过程。

设计/方法/方法

作者回顾了有关远见框架的文献。作者建议使用定量（文献计量学）和定性（专家会议，Delphi）技术。作者将这种方法应用于 TRDC 感兴趣的每个研究主题。

发现

将该方法应用于研究课题，使我们能够分析该课题发展的相关知识领域及其全球趋势。对于每个领域，作者确定了具有最大增长和相关性的特定研究方向。考虑到这些问题，作者就如何向决策者提供知识对 TRDC 的情况进行了诊断。

研究限制/影响

论文回顾了在墨西哥国立自治大学工程研究所和研究课题“土木工程中的地震风险”中的应用结果。有必要根据组织的条件和 TRDC 在所分析的研究课题中取得的发展来调整该方法在其他 TRDC 中的应用。

原创性/价值

在支持组织规划过程的大学 TRDC 中，没有关于技术前瞻练习的详细文献。该方法代表了在研究机构，特别是大学中建立优先研究课题和具体研究路线的建议。作者在墨西哥的一所大学 TRDC 中介绍了该应用程序。