This article examines the role of plausibility in the construction of futures, taking a critical constructionist perspective. Plausibility builds on the intersubjectively constructed coherence to prior knowledges and is understood, in line with constructionist meaning-based approaches, to be grounded in dominant and naturalized conceptions of the present. A re-reading of the ongoing discussions of plausibility in Futures Studies shows how plausibility is associated with different roles and implications depending on the epistemological perspective taken. Moreover, plausibility sets the range of futures for further consideration. Plausibility is thus at the core of constructing futures, prefiguring them based on the present, and thus re-stating the present within images of the future. This aspect renders the term fruitful as a semiotic approach for Critical Futures Studies. Plausibility is discussed as a starting point for reflexive inquiries. It enables the analysis of the overlaps to dominant perceptions of the world, and serves as a departure point for distancing and re-ordering knowledges and creating other futures through plausibilizing other presents.

This paper enriches the ongoing attempts to understand plausibility through a critical constructionist perspective and suggests potential theoretical and methodological approaches for critically working with plausibility, including semiotic guiding questions for de- and reconstructing futures.

本文以批判性的建构主义视角研究了合理性在期货构建中的作用。似真性建立在与先前知识的主体间构造上的连贯性之上，并且根据建构主义基于意义的方法被理解为以当下占主导地位和自然化的概念为基础。重新阅读《期货研究》中正在进行的关于合理性的讨论，可以发现，根据所采取的认识论观点，合理性如何与不同的角色和含义相关联。此外，合理性设定了期货的范围以供进一步考虑。因此，合理性是构建期货，根据当前进行预成型并在未来的形象中重新表述当前的核心。这方面使该术语成为重要期货研究的一种符号学方法而富有成果。合理性被讨论为反思性查询的起点。它可以分析与世界主流认知的重叠，并且可以作为发散点，以区分和重新排序知识，并通过使其他礼物变得有趣来创造其他未来。

本文丰富了正在进行的尝试，通过批判的建构主义视角来理解合理性，并提出了潜在的理论和方法论方法，以批判性地与合理性打交道，包括符号学指导问题，用于取消和重建未来。