Many years ago, Emmanuel Todd came up with a classification of family types and argued that the historically prevalent family types in a society have important consequences for its economic, political, and social development. Here, we evaluate Todd's most important predictions empirically. Relying on a parsimonious model with exogenous covariates, we find mixed results. On the one hand, authoritarian family types are, in stark contrast to Todd's predictions, associated with increased levels of the rule of law and innovation. On the other hand, and in line with Todd's expectations, communitarian family types are linked to racism, low levels of the rule of law, and late industrialization. Countries in which endogamy is frequently practiced also display an expectedly high level of state fragility and weak civil society organizations.

中文翻译：

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测试托德：家庭类型和发展

许多年前，伊曼纽尔·托德（Emmanuel Todd）提出了家庭类型的分类，并认为一个社会历史上普遍存在的家庭类型对其经济、政治和社会发展具有重要影响。在这里，我们根据经验评估托德最重要的预测。依靠具有外生协变量的简约模型，我们发现结果好坏参半。一方面，与托德的预测形成鲜明对比的是，威权家庭类型与法治和创新水平的提高有关。另一方面，与托德的预期一致，社群主义家庭类型与种族主义、法治水平低下和工业化后期有关。经常实行内婚制的国家也表现出预期的高度国家脆弱性和民间社会组织薄弱。