Juvenile recidivism is a serious public health concern. Using statewide administrative data, this study examined the independent predictive value of childhood maltreatment on repeat offending and compared risk factors for recidivism between 698 first-time juvenile offenders with maltreatment and their propensity score matched sample of 698 without maltreatment. For 3 years, 65.2% of maltreated offenders and 61.5% of their matched sample recidivated after their initial offense. The effect of childhood maltreatment on recidivism remained statistically significant beyond the inclusion of control variables. In both groups, being a youth of color and having a diagnosed emotional/behavioral disability increased risk for recidivism. Additional risk factors included being a male for maltreated offenders and out-of-school suspension, entry into the juvenile justice system at younger ages, and out-of-home placement only after their first offense or continuing placement for their matched sample without maltreatment. Preventive interventions must be responsive to such different risks.

青少年累犯是一个严重的公共卫生问题。这项研究使用全州范围的行政数据，研究了儿童期虐待对重复犯罪的独立预测价值，并比较了698名初次受到虐待的未成年罪犯和他们的倾向评分匹配的698名未受到虐待的未成年人的再犯危险因素。在最初犯罪后的3年中，有65.2％的受虐待者和其匹配的样本中有61.5％再次犯罪。除纳入控制变量外，儿童期虐待对累犯的影响在统计学上仍然很显着。在这两个群体中，都是有色人种并被诊断出情绪/行为残疾会增加再次犯罪的风险。其他风险因素包括：因虐待而成为男性，以及校外停学，进入少年司法系统的年龄较小，并且只有在他们初犯后才可进行家外安置，或继续安置其匹配的样本而不会受到虐待。预防干预措施必须对这种不同的风险作出反应。