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Pricing VIX options with realized volatility
Journal of Futures Markets ( IF 1.8 ) Pub Date : 2021-03-13 , DOI: 10.1002/fut.22201
Chen Tong 1 , Zhuo Huang 2
Affiliation  

We investigate the role of realized volatility in pricing VIX options by using the generalized affine realized volatility (GARV) model, and the Realized generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (GARCH) model. We develop a closed-form pricing formula for the (affine) GARV model. For the (nonaffine) log-linear Realized GARCH model, we introduce a novel approximation approach to derive its analytical pricing formula. Empirical results show that models with realized volatility significantly outperform competing models based on daily returns only, both in- and out-of-sample. The Realized GARCH model offers the best pricing performance, as it has fewer constraints and a more flexible modeling structure.

中文翻译:

为具有已实现波动率的 VIX 期权定价

我们通过使用广义仿射已实现波动率 (GARV) 模型和已实现广义自回归条件异方差 (GARCH) 模型研究已实现波动率在 VIX 期权定价中的作用。我们为(仿射)GARV 模型开发了一个封闭形式的定价公式。对于(非仿射)对数线性实现 GARCH 模型,我们引入了一种新颖的近似方法来推导其分析定价公式。实证结果表明,具有已实现波动率的模型显着优于仅基于每日回报的竞争模型,无论是样本内还是样本外。Realized GARCH 模型提供了最佳的定价性能,因为它具有更少的约束和更灵活的建模结构。
更新日期:2021-03-13
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