ABSTRACT

After the COVID-19 pandemic, a decrease in travel demand due to the mass transport characteristics of public transit was inevitable, and the impact of the pandemic has increased the need for new transport policies. This study aims to propose transport policies for public transit through comparison by quantitatively measuring passengers’ crowding impedance before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The crowding impedances are evaluated through a random parameter mixed logit model from the two surveyed data to compare the behavioral differences before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The behavioral differences are compared using crowding multipliers, and, accordingly, the results show that crowding impedances after the COVID-19 pandemic are about 1.04 ~ 1.23 times higher than before the COVID-19 pandemic. Transport policies for transit policymakers and operators are proposed to cope with the crisis in public transportation caused by an infectious disease.

摘要

在 COVID-19 大流行之后，由于公共交通的大众运输特点，出行需求减少是不可避免的，而大流行的影响增加了对新交通政策的需求。本研究旨在通过定量测量 COVID-19 大流行前后乘客的拥挤阻抗，通过比较提出公共交通的交通政策。通过来自两个调查数据的随机参数混合 logit 模型评估拥挤阻抗，以比较 COVID-19 大流行前后的行为差异。使用拥挤乘数比较了行为差异，因此，结果表明 COVID-19 大流行后的拥挤阻抗比 COVID-19 大流行之前高约 1.04 ~ 1.23 倍。