Purpose

The paper aims to complement the six pillars analysis with the multi-level perspective to make it more systematic and policy relevant.

Design/methodology/approach

Take the innovation system foresight as the exemplar; the paper asks if the other systemic approaches to innovation can function as the middle range theory and underpin critical future studies. To answer, the paper combines the six-pillar approach (SPA) with the multilevel perspective (MLP) and builds “transitional foresight”. Then it takes the fourth pillar; transitional causal layered analysis and applies it to a case study: water stress in Iran. The paper concludes noting that in transitional foresight, the borderlines, the players and the orientations of the foresight are clearer than the six-pillar analysis.

Findings

The SPA and MLP-integrated framework make a powerful research instrument for transitional foresight.

Research limitations/implications

The paper applied the integrated framework to a case “water system in Iran”. But the framework should be applied in different cases in different countries to test its applicability.

Practical implications

The suggested framework can be used as a heuristics for the students and researchers who want to engage with the emancipatory perspective of the six-pillar approach and need to have an academic methodology with rigor and granularity.

Originality/value

The six-pillar approach of Sohail Inayatullah and the multilevel perspective of Geels can combine to make a powerful heuristic for transitional foresight.

中文翻译：

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过渡前瞻：MLP 作为 CLA 的理论基础：伊朗水务部门的案例

目的

本文旨在以多层次的视角补充六大支柱分析，使其更具系统性和政策相关性。

设计/方法/方法

以创新系统前瞻为典范；该论文询问其他系统的创新方法是否可以作为中间理论并支持未来的关键研究。为了回答这个问题，本文将六支柱方法 (SPA) 与多层次视角 (MLP) 结合起来，构建了“过渡前瞻”。然后是第四根柱子；过渡因果分层分析并将其应用于案例研究：伊朗的水资源压力。论文最后指出，在过渡前瞻中，边界、参与者和前瞻的方向比六支柱分析更清晰。

发现

SPA 和 MLP 集成框架为过渡预见提供了强大的研究工具。

研究限制/影响

该论文将综合框架应用于“伊朗供水系统”案例。但该框架应适用于不同国家的不同案例，以检验其适用性。

实际影响

对于想要参与六支柱方法的解放视角并需要具有严谨和粒度的学术方法的学生和研究人员，建议的框架可以用作启发式方法。

原创性/价值

Sohail Inayatullah 的六支柱方法和 Geels 的多层次视角相结合，可以为过渡预见提供强大的启发式方法。