The phenomenon of mass incarceration has dramatically altered the economic and infrastructural landscape of the United States. These changes have numerous implications regarding the use of fossil fuels, which are the single largest contributor to climate change. The present study argues that mass incarceration creates three social patterns that result in significant increases in industrial emissions. (1) Mass incarceration incentivizes further industrial development through the construction of new prisons and the continued maintenance of existing prisons to house prisoners. (2) The needs of the millions of individuals currently incarcerated in the United States incentivize industrial expansion through the production of goods and materials used inside prisons. (3) Incarcerated individuals are being used to reduce the cost of labor, which expands economic growth. We construct several fixed-effects panel regression models with robust standard errors predicting industrial emissions for U.S. states from 1997 to 2016 to assess how increases in the number of individuals in U.S. state, federal, and private prisons is correlated with industrial emissions over time. We find that increases in incarceration within states are associated with increases in industrial emissions, and that increases in incarceration lead to a more tightly coupled association between gross domestic product per capita and industrial emissions.

大规模监禁现象极大地改变了美国的经济和基础设施格局。这些变化对化石燃料的使用产生了许多影响，而化石燃料是导致气候变化的最大因素。本研究认为，大规模监禁会产生三种社会模式，从而导致工业排放量的显着增加。（1）大规模监禁通过建造新监狱和继续维持现有监狱以容纳囚犯来激励进一步的工业发展。（2）目前，美国有数以百万计的被关押者的需求，通过生产监狱内使用的物品和材料来刺激工业发展。（3）被关押的个人被用来减少劳动成本，从而扩大了经济增长。我们构建了具有固定标准误差的几个固定效应面板回归模型，这些标准误差预测了1997年至2016年美国各州的工业排放量，以评估随着时间的推移，美国各州，联邦监狱和私立监狱的个人人数增加与工业排放量之间的关系。我们发现，州内监禁的增加与工业排放的增加有关，而监禁的增加导致人均国内生产总值与工业排放之间的联系更加紧密。随着时间的推移，私人监狱与工业排放量相关。我们发现，州内监禁的增加与工业排放的增加有关，而监禁的增加导致人均国内生产总值与工业排放之间的联系更加紧密。随着时间的流逝，私人监狱与工业排放量相关。我们发现，州内监禁的增加与工业排放的增加有关，而监禁的增加导致人均国内生产总值与工业排放之间的联系更加紧密。