Does internal migration following natural hazards increase the likelihood of protests in migrant-receiving areas? To address the question, this study first looks at the extent to which experiencing different forms of natural hazards contributes to a household’s decision to leave their district of residence. In a second step, the article explores whether that internal migration flow increases the number of protest events in migrant-hosting districts. In doing so, it contributes to the existing debate on the extent to which natural hazards impact the likelihood of social contention, and the role of migration as a linking pathway in that relationship. The impact of climate-related shocks may erode household assets and therefore adaptive capacity in ways that can eventually influence decisions to migrate to larger urban centres. Although migrants are agents of economical and technological change, urban environments may impose challenges to recently arrived migrants and their host communities, affecting the motivations and mobilization resources of urban social groups to protest. As a consequence, the probability of urban unrest in these locations is expected to increase. To test this, I use geo-referenced household-level data from Bangladesh for the period 2010–15, which records households’ experiences of different forms of natural hazard and internal migration flows, available from the Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey. It combines this with data on protests, derived from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data. Findings suggest that flood hazards in combination with loss of assets increase the likelihood of internal migration, but unlike other types of domestic mobility, hazard-related migration does not increase the frequency of protests in migrants’ districts of destination.

自然灾害之后的内部迁移是否会增加在移民接收地区发生抗议的可能性？为了解决这个问题，本研究首先研究经历不同形式的自然灾害在多大程度上有助于家庭决定离开居住地。在第二步中，本文探讨了内部移民流动是否会增加移民收容区的抗议活动数量。这样一来，就自然灾害在多大程度上影响了社会争端的可能性以及移民在这种关系中作为联系途径的作用，它为现有的辩论做出了贡献。与气候有关的冲击的影响可能会侵蚀家庭资产，从而削弱适应能力，从而最终影响决策迁移到更大的城市中心。尽管移民是经济和技术变革的推动者，但城市环境可能会给刚到来的移民及其所在社区带来挑战，影响城市社会团体抗议的动机和动员资源。因此，预计这些地区发生城市动乱的可能性将会增加。为了验证这一点，我使用了孟加拉国2010-15年间地理参考的家庭水平数据，该数据记录了孟加拉国综合住户调查提供的不同形式的自然灾害和内部移民流动的住户经验。它结合了来自武装冲突地点和事件数据的抗议数据。研究结果表明，洪水灾害加上资产损失增加了内部迁移的可能性，