The current study uses pooled National Crime Victimization Survey data (1992–2015) to examine if the relationship between climate change and victimization risk is modified by victim and incident characteristics. Panel analysis yields interesting findings. First, results mirror those found in prior studies utilizing Uniform Crime Report data, providing another indication that the link between a warming climate and crime may be quite robust. Second, the results indicate that climatic effects may play out differently in different contexts. For example, outdoor victimizations, especially those near a person’s residence, appear increasingly elastic during anomalously warm temperatures. In addition, subpopulations (males and African Americans) are also at increased risk of victimization. Our results effectively suggest that at-risk populations are more vulnerable to climatic variability.

本研究使用汇总的国家犯罪被害者调查数据（1992-2015年）来检查气候变化与受害风险之间的关系是否因受害人和事件特征而改变。小组分析得出了有趣的发现。首先，研究结果与以前使用统一犯罪报告数据进行的研究结果相吻合，这再次表明气候变暖与犯罪之间的联系可能非常牢固。其次，结果表明，在不同环境下，气候影响可能会有所不同。例如，在异常温暖的温度下，室外受害，尤其是在人居所附近的受害，变得越来越有弹性。此外，亚人群（男性和非裔美国人）受害的风险也增加了。