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The Political Economy of Famine: The Ukrainian Famine of 1933
The Journal of Economic History ( IF 2.5 ) Pub Date : 2021-03-12 , DOI: 10.1017/s0022050720000625
Natalya Naumenko

The 1933 Ukrainian famine killed as many as 2.6 million people out of a population of 32 million. Historians offer three main explanations: weather, economic policies, genocide. This paper documents that (1) available data do not support weather as the main explanation: 1931 and 1932 weather predicts harvest roughly equal to the 1924–1929 average; weather explains up to 8.1 percent of excess deaths. (2) Policies (collectivization of agriculture and the lack of favored industries) significantly increased famine mortality; collectivization explains up to 52 percent of excess deaths. (3) There is some evidence that ethnic Ukrainians and Germans were discriminated against.

中文翻译:

饥荒的政治经济学:1933 年的乌克兰饥荒

1933 年的乌克兰饥荒导致 3200 万人口中多达 260 万人死亡。历史学家提供了三种主要解释:天气、经济政策、种族灭绝。本文记录了 (1) 现有数据不支持天气作为主要解释:1931 年和 1932 年的天气预测收成大致等于 1924-1929 年的平均值;天气解释了高达 8.1% 的超额死亡。(2) 政策(农业集体化和缺乏优惠产业)显着增加了饥荒死亡率;集体化解释了高达 52% 的超额死亡。(3) 有证据表明乌克兰人和德国人受到歧视。
更新日期:2021-03-12
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