We investigate whether delaying entrance into university is affected by restrictions on admissions into competitive programs. Using Danish administrative data, we estimate a dynamic discrete choice model, in which students choose, if admitted, either to enter one of 30 programs or to delay. We use the model to examine delaying choices under different simulated admissions policies. Our experiments suggest that only 28 percent of students who delay do so because of admissions restrictions. Furthermore, although students respond to admissions incentives, our results imply that such policies are unlikely to substantially change the overall distribution of delay.

中文翻译：

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招生限制和推迟上大学的决定*

我们调查了推迟进入大学是否受到竞争性课程入学限制的影响。利用丹麦的行政数据，我们估算出一个动态的离散选择模型，在该模型中，学生如果被录取，可以选择进入30个程序中的一个或进行延迟。我们使用该模型检查不同模拟入学政策下的延误选择。我们的实验表明，由于入学限制，只有28％的学生推迟这样做。此外，尽管学生对入学奖励措施做出反应，但我们的结果表明，此类政策不太可能实质性地改变延迟的总体分布。