US ports and container/intermodal terminals are critical links in the marine transportation system. Disruption at a port can have a crippling economic effect in the coastal zone as well as the rest of the nation. Port stakeholders have a vested interest in the long-term function and viability of ports, but no standardized measures for performance or resilience exist for ports. The goal of this research is to demonstrate the utility of a predictive port resilience assessment tool. The developed tool encompasses a microscopic traffic simulation model (VISSIM) based hybrid multimodal analyzes of port operations and provides a quantifiable assessment of resilience. The application of this tool is shown on six ports in the Southeast US. The waterside port simulation models were developed using vessel automatic identification system data and programed within a VISSIM simulation of landside operations. This hybrid modeling approach was used to visualize vessels and allow them to interact in both time and space with each other and landside infrastructure. Local and regional resilience was quantified through the analysis of time-dependent resilience plots and used as a performance measure in this study. The utility of the predictive port resilience assessment was demonstrated in response to Hurricane Matthew (2016). However, the novel procedure described herein can be applied to any port hazard. This research grows the understanding of the regional consequences of hurricane events and enhances the knowledge in the development of a stakeholder-focused tool to assess resilience.

美国港口和集装箱/多式联运码头是海上运输系统的关键环节。港口中断可能会对沿海地区以及全国其他地区的经济造成严重影响。港口利益相关者对港口的长期功能和生存能力拥有既得利益，但港口没有标准化的绩效或弹性衡量标准。本研究的目的是展示预测性港口弹性评估工具的实用性。开发的工具包含基于微观交通模拟模型（VISSIM）的港口运营混合多模式分析，并提供可量化的弹性评估。该工具的应用已在美国东南部的六个港口展示。水边港口模拟模型是使用船舶自动识别系统数据开发的，并在陆侧操作的 VISSIM 模拟中进行编程。这种混合建模方法用于可视化船舶，并允许它们在时间和空间上与彼此以及陆侧基础设施进行交互。通过分析随时间变化的复原力图来量化当地和区域的复原力，并将其用作本研究中的绩效衡量标准。预测性港口复原力评估的实用性在应对飓风马修（2016 年）中得到了证明。然而，本文描述的新颖程序可以应用于任何港口危险。这项研究加深了对飓风事件区域后果的了解，并增强了开发以利益相关者为中心的抵御能力评估工具的知识。