Nonlinearity ( IF 1.6 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-23 , DOI: 10.1088/1361-6544/abd85f Meagan Carney 1 , Mark Holland 2 , Matthew Nicol 3
Consider an ergodic measure preserving dynamical system (T, X,μ), and an observable . For the time series X n (x) = ϕ(T n (x)), we establish limit laws for the maximum process M n =max k⩽n X k in the case where ϕ is an observable maximized on a line segment, and (T, X,μ) is a hyperbolic dynamical system. Such observables arise naturally in weather and climate applications. We consider the extreme value laws and extremal indices for these observables on hyperbolic toral automorphisms, Sinai dispersing billiards and coupled expanding maps. In particular we obtain clustering and nontrivial extremal indices due to self intersection of submanifolds under iteration by the dynamics, not arising from any periodicity.
中文翻译:
双曲系统 MC 和 MN 上水平集可观察量的极值和极值指数部分得到 NSF 资助 DMS 1600780 和 DMS 2009923 的支持。MH 承认支持 EPSRC 资助:EP/P034489/。MC 感谢德累斯顿马克斯普朗克研究所-PKS 在完成部分工作时的热情款待。我们要感谢 R Sturman 和 J Myers Hill 的仔细阅读和评论。我们也感谢匿名审稿人的详细和有用的建议。
考虑一个遍历测度保留动力系统(T,X,μ)和一个 observable 。对于时间序列X n ( x ) = ϕ ( T n ( x )),我们建立了最大过程M n =max k ⩽ n X k 的极限定律,其中ϕ是在线段上最大化的可观测量,和 ( T , X , μ ) 是一个双曲动力系统。此类可观测数据自然出现在天气和气候应用中。我们在双曲环自同构、西奈散布台球和耦合扩展图上考虑这些可观测量的极值定律和极值指数。特别是,由于动力学迭代下子流形的自相交,我们获得了聚类和非平凡的极值指数,而不是由任何周期性引起的。