Despite growing efforts to conceptualize residential mobility and migration as long-term trajectories, because of methodological challenges and the lack of adequate data, most empirical studies have resorted to examining year-to-year changes in place of residence. As a result, the impact of past migration experiences on future migration behavior remains poorly understood. To shed light on time interdependencies in individual migration trajectories, this paper examines associations between past moves and subsequent migration behavior from birth to age 50, distinguishing between (i) intraregional mobility, interregional migration and international migration and (ii) return and onward moves. By applying multinominal regression models to retrospective life history data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), we demonstrate that the decision to migrate at a particular point in time is embedded within a wider migration history that started in childhood. However, we also find that the effect of past moves diminishes as individuals progress in their migration career. These findings hold for intraregional, interregional and international moves. Altogether, these findings lend support to our theoretical proposition that migration is a learned behavior and highlight the importance of accounting for time interdependency in individuals’ migration trajectories.

中文翻译：

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迁移是一种学习行为吗？了解过去迁移对未来迁移的影响

尽管越来越多的努力将居住流动性和迁移概念化为长期轨迹，但由于方法上的挑战和缺乏足够的数据，大多数实证研究都诉诸于研究居住地的逐年变化。因此，过去的迁移经历对未来迁移行为的影响仍然知之甚少。为了阐明个体迁移轨迹的时间相互依赖性，本文研究了从出生到 50 岁的过去迁移与随后迁移行为之间的关联，区分了 (i) 区域内迁移、区域间迁移和国际迁移以及 (ii) 返回和继续迁移。通过将多项回归模型应用于欧洲健康、老龄化和退休调查 (SHARE) 的回顾性生活史数据，我们证明，在特定时间点的移民决定植根于始于童年的更广泛的移民历史。然而，我们还发现，随着个人迁移生涯的进展，过去迁移的影响会减弱。这些发现适用于区域内、区域间和国际移动。总之，这些发现支持我们的理论主张，即迁移是一种学习行为，并强调了考虑个人迁移轨迹中时间相互依赖性的重要性。区域间和国际行动。总之，这些发现支持我们的理论主张，即迁移是一种学习行为，并强调了考虑个人迁移轨迹中时间相互依赖性的重要性。区域间和国际行动。总之，这些发现支持我们的理论主张，即迁移是一种学习行为，并强调了考虑个人迁移轨迹中时间相互依赖性的重要性。