Risk assessment of insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under climate change,Pest Management Science

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Risk assessment of insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under climate change
Pest Management Science ( IF 4.1 ) Pub Date : 2021-03-03 , DOI: 10.1002/ps.6354
Chun‐Jing Wang _{1,

2} , Rong Wang ₃ , Chun‐Mei Yu ₄ , Xiao‐Peng Dang ₃ , Wan‐Gui Sun ₄ , Qiang‐Feng Li ₂ , Xiao‐Ting Wang ₄ , Ji‐Zhong Wan ₁

Affiliation

Growth in insect pest populations poses a significant threat to ecosystem functions and services, societal development, and food security in alpine regions under climate change. Risk assessments are important prioritization tools for pest management, which must be used to study insect pest expansion in alpine ecosystems under global warming. We used species distribution modeling to simulate the current and future distribution probabilities of 58 insect pest species in the Qinghai Province, China, based on a comprehensive field investigation. Subsequently, general linear modeling was used to explore the relationship between the distribution probability of these species and the damage caused by them. Finally, we assessed the ecological risk of insect pest expansion across different alpine ecosystems under climate change.

更新日期：2021-03-03

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