Within the growing literature on broadband development, much research has focused on infrastructure competition and spatial effects driving investment incentives in broadband provision. However, less attention has been paid to the geographical factors explaining very high capacity fibre based network rollout. The purpose of this paper is to examine these geographical effects of rollout of these networks by utilizing basic data mining techniques in conjunction with exploratory spatial data analysis. In explaining the rollout of these networks, the paper derives from the literature a geographical model on broadband provision and examines it empirically by focusing on the spatial and temporal effects driving very high capacity fibre-based network development in the Netherlands. The paper confirms previous research on market uncertainty and the techno-economics of broadband development, but shows, in addition, that more specific factors related to local effects and demand uncertainty are vital in explaining the rollout of very high capacity fibre-based network.

在越来越多的有关宽带发展的文献中，许多研究都集中在基础设施竞争和空间效应上，从而推动了宽带供应方面的投资激励。但是，对地理因素的关注很少，这说明了基于高容量光纤的网络部署。本文的目的是通过利用基础数据挖掘技术与探索性空间数据分析相结合的方法，研究这些网络部署的这些地理效应。在解释这些网络的推出时，本文从文献中获得了有关宽带供应的地理模型，并通过关注驱动荷兰高容量光纤网络发展的时空效应进行了实证研究。