This article investigates the determinants of political cleavages composing the structure of political attitudes in Jordan, Tunisia, and Yemen following the Arab Spring. Further, it tests whether political cleavages carry predictive weight on ordinary citizens’ electoral choices in general elections. Using the Sixth Wave of the World Values Survey, discriminant analysis was conducted to generate the dimensionality, type, and structure of political attitudes in the three nations. Findings suggest that the structure of political attitudes in Jordan, Tunisia, and Yemen is multidimensional: the Islamic‐Secular division, a conflict along economic policy visions and an emerging divisive dimension concerning political reform. Evidence indicates that political cleavages do not possess significant predictive power in determining voters’ choice at elections booths. This research also points to the significance of social transformation processes such as modernization and globalization in causing a shift in values among ordinary citizens in the Arab World. This research argues that in countries where the effects of modernization and globalization are higher, a weakening of the Islamic‐Secular division is witnessed. This research is important since it paves the way for further empirical analysis on political ideology in the Middle East. It shatters conjectures concluding that Arab polities are only divided by a single hierarchical dimension: Islamic‐Secular. It contributes to comparative research on the dimensionality of political ideology by showing that the Arab World is similar to the industrialized world in the dimensionality, nature, and structuration of political ideology.

中文翻译：

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约旦，突尼斯和也门的政治分裂的决定因素：阿拉伯世界的政治态度结构分析

本文调查了构成阿拉伯分裂后约旦，突尼斯和也门政治态度结构的政治分歧的决定因素。此外，它测试了政治分歧是否对大选中普通公民的选举选择具有预测意义。使用第六次世界价值调查，进行了判别分析，以得出这三个国家中政治态度的维度，类型和结构。研究结果表明，约旦，突尼斯和也门的政治态度结构是多维的：伊斯兰教与世俗组织的分裂，沿着经济政策观点的冲突以及关于政治改革的新兴分歧。有证据表明，政治分歧在决定选举摊位的选民选择方面没有显着的预测能力。这项研究还指出了现代化和全球化等社会转型过程在引起阿拉伯世界普通公民价值观念转变方面的重要意义。这项研究认为，在现代化和全球化的影响更大的国家中，目睹了伊斯兰-世俗分裂的减弱。这项研究很重要，因为它为进一步对中东政治意识形态进行实证分析铺平了道路。它打破了这样的猜想，即阿拉伯政体仅被一个单一的等级维度划分：伊斯兰世俗组织。