The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics ( IF 1.480 ) Pub Date : 2021-02-23 , DOI: 10.1007/s11146-020-09800-6 Hamilton Fout , Nuno Mota , Eric Rosenblatt
Using home purchase loan application data, we study buyer responses to the uncommon occurrence of the appraised value coming in below the contract price (i.e. a low appraisal), which sharply raises the probability of downward price renegotiation. We propose that two mechanisms drive the higher renegotiation rates. First, a liquidity channel, visible for financially constrained borrowers for whom a low appraisal impacts financing costs. Second, for financially unconstrained borrowers, we identify a news channel whereby the information content of the low appraisal alone induces borrower renegotiation. Importantly, we show that low appraisals result in lower renegotiated prices through these channels without a substantially lower likelihood of a loan application leading to loan origination or notably longer times from contract signing to sale.
中文翻译:
当评估师走低,合同走低:专家意见对交易价格的影响
使用购房贷款申请数据,我们研究了买方对低于合同价格(即低评估)的评估价值的罕见出现的响应,这大大提高了价格重新谈判的可能性。我们建议采用两种机制来推动更高的重新协商率。首先,流动性渠道,对于财务受限的借款人而言可见,因为评估不足会影响其融资成本。其次,对于资金拮据的借款人,我们确定了一个新闻渠道,仅凭低评价的信息内容就可以引起借款人重新谈判。重要的是,我们表明,低评估导致通过这些渠道进行的重新谈判价格降低,而导致申请贷款导致贷款产生的可能性大大降低,或者从签订合同到出售的时间明显更长。